Vision 2025: Futility or Progress?

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By: Qamar Bashir

Macomb, Detroit, Michigan

Pakistan’s Vision 2025, launched by the Ministry of Planning, Development & Reform, rightly outlines an ambitious roadmap to position the country among the world’s top 25 economies by 2025 and ultimately among the top 10 by 2047. The plan is structured around seven key pillars: developing human and social capital, achieving sustained and inclusive growth, ensuring good governance and institutional reform, attaining energy, water, and food security, fostering private sector-led growth, building a competitive knowledge economy, and enhancing modern infrastructure with regional connectivity. The emphasis on human development and infrastructure is particularly commendable, as these are foundational pillars for sustainable progress.

While the vision is comprehensive and well-conceived, the challenge lies not in strategic planning but in effective implementation. Planning Minister Mr. Ehsan Iqbal, known for his strategic acumen from his previous tenure in the PML(N) government, has demonstrated a clear understanding of what is required at the macro level.

However, the PML(N) leadership, or, for that matter any government at the federal level, often falls short when it comes to translating such plans into actionable outcomes. The lack of full ownership of strategic visions and their integration into the processes, protocols, and policies of federal and provincial goverments and ministries has historically been a significant gap.

 If Vision 2025 does not achieve buy-in at all levels of governance and is not implemented rigorously across the board, it risks becoming another intellectual exercise rather than a transformative national agenda.

The 18th Amendment marked a pivotal turning point in Pakistan’s political and governance structure, transferring significant powers from the federation to the provinces. This landmark constitutional reform was driven by the recognition of two key realities: the pervasive influence of a powerful military that had deeply penetrated federal processes, frequently overriding civilian leadership, and the resultant weakening of civilian control over governance. Faced with a federal structure dominated by military intervention and centralization, the two dominant political parties sought to create autonomous provincial safe havens, where they could exercise authority with minimal interference from the center.

While the intent of the 18th Amendment was to empower provinces and ensure more localized governance, it inadvertently weakened the federation’s financial and administrative cohesion.

The decentralization of powers left the federal government with diminished revenue streams and limited control over key governance areas, while provinces benefitted from surplus budgets and greater autonomy.

Post-18th Amendment, the political landscape has often been fragmented, with different parties governing the federation and the provinces, each harboring divergent or even opposing strategic visions. This lack of unity undermines any federal strategic vision, which often remains a theoretical exercise.

Multiple power centers within the federation also counter the implementation of the vision. — the Parliament is often reluctant to endorse federal policies, a judiciary is prone to encroaching on executive functions, and provincial administrations with conflicting priorities—compound the problem. These dynamics leave the federal government paralyzed, unable to implement cohesive and meaningful development plans, including Vision 2025.

The army has historically wielded and continues to hold a superveto power over any strategic visions made at the federal level or even at the provincial levels, deriving its strategic directions from the desires, thinking, and mood of the army chief.

This superveto comes with the added advantage of executing the orders of the army chief at levels of federal and provincial governments without considering the short-term and long-term implications for the country’s overall financial, economic, and social health.

The provinces are usually governed by parties different from those at the center, and they adopt the vision, wishes, mood, and desires of their respective party leaderships. Provinces often have deeper and more effective resource allocation and execution authority than the federation.

As a result, the vision developed at the center—typically spearheaded by the Planning Division—is frequently disregarded, setaside, or even not being read, reducing it to an intellectual exercise in futility, rather than assuming the stature of a Magna Carta or the guiding principles for all tiers of governments.

Moreover, with disporportaional responsibility and accountability to meet the country budgetary needs often left the federal government grappling with severe financial constraints, struggling to fulfill its fundamental obligations such as debt servicing, defense spending, and maintaining critical national infrastructure. As a result, the federal government has been reduced to seeking humiliating financial assistance from friendly nations and repeatedly turning to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for bailouts.

These aid-seeking endeavors often come with stringent conditions, including austerity measures and policy adjustments dictated by the IMF and donor countries, which further exacerbate economic hardships for the populace. This dependency undermines the sovereignty of economic decision-making, leaving the federal government with little leverage to implement its strategic vision or pursue independent policy priorities.

Ideally, the vision, mission, objectives, and goals of such a strategic vision should be followed in letter and spirit, serving as guiding principles for the entire nation. All ministries, governments, departments, and institutions should realign their strategies and execution plans to align with the central strategic directions.

They should also contribute to achieving the aims, objectives, and goals of the strategic plan within specified timelines, with mechanisms in place to hold them responsible and accountable if these targets are not met. Only through such a unified and accountable approach can the true potential of a national vision be realized.

Ultimately, the success of Vision 2025 will depend on its ability to transcend political divides and power struggles, galvanizing all stakeholders—government, civil society, the private sector, and all powerful military establishment—toward a shared vision for national development. Without this unified approach, the Vision risks becoming another theoretical exercise rather than a transformative framework for the nation’s progress.

By: Qamar Bashir

Press Secretary to the President (Rtd)

Former Press Minister at Embassy of Pakistan to France

Former MD, SRBC